Consumers' mobility, expenditure and online/offline substitution response to COVID-19: evidence from French transaction data
  • David Bounie
  • , Youssouf Camara
  • and John W Galbraith
01/09/21
- Documents de travail
This paper investigates a number of general phenomena connected with consumer behaviour in response to a severe economic shock, using billions of French card transactions measured before and during the COVID-19 epidemic. We examine changes in consumer mobility, anticipatory behaviour in response to announced restrictions, and the contrasts between the responses of online and traditional point-of-sale (off-line) consumption expenditures to the shock. We track hourly, daily and weekly responses as well as estimating an aggregate fixed-period impact effect via a difference-in-difference estimator. The results, particularly at the sectoral level, suggest that {recourse} to the online shopping option diminished somewhat the overall impact of the shock on consumption expenditure, thereby increasing resiliency of the economy.
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Institut Louis Bachelier - Fondation du risque
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Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques
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Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution